The NRCS has released their Water Supply Outlook Report for March. As always, you can view / download the latest full state-wide report here, or also go to the Snowpack & Precipitation Reports page.
There is some reduction in this current forecast vs last months 98% of normal. Nevada creek is now forecast at 92% of normal flow for both the April-May & April-July time periods (at the most probable 50% chance of exceedance). These predictions are made with the assumption of normal precipitation over the remaining late winter – spring.
Considering this forecast flow volume, it is still quite possible that we achieve full capacity for Nevada creek reservoir. A lot will depend on how the runoff comes. An early, fast runoff would result in a large percentage of that volume to be stored. A slower, extended runoff could result with much of the volume being consumed as senior irrigation rights would have to be honored. And as always, the addition of heavier precipitation can change things quickly.
(click chart image to enlarge)
